Ƙarfin hasken rana na duniya na iya kaiwa 1,448 GW a cikin 2024

SolarPower Turai ta yi hasashen adadin sabon ƙarfin PV da aka ƙara a wannan shekara zai zama ƙasa da 4% ƙasa da adadin bara saboda rikicin Covid-19.A ƙarshen 2019, duniya ta haura 630 GW na hasken rana.Don 2020, ana tsammanin kusan 112 GW na sabon ƙarfin PV, kuma a cikin 2021, sabon ikon da aka shigar zai iya zama 149.9 GW idan gwamnatoci suna tallafawa sabbin abubuwa a cikin shirin dawo da tattalin arzikinsu na coronavirus.

Kasuwar PV ta duniya ana hasashen za ta yi kwangila kaɗan a wannan shekara duk da cutar ta Covid-19, a cewar rahoton.Kasuwar Duniya 2020-2024rahoton da kungiyar masana'antu SolarPower Turai ta buga.

Halin tsakiyar hanya, yanayin 'matsakaici' wanda aka bayyana a cikin rahoton, wanda ƙungiyar ke gani a matsayin hanyar da za ta iya zuwa nan gaba, ta yi hasashen sabbin ƙarfin ƙarfin haɓaka zai kai 112 GW a wannan shekara, kusan 4% ƙasa akan 116.9 GW da aka ƙara. shekaran da ya gabata.

Mafi kyawun yanayin ƙungiyar ya ƙunshi 76.8 GW na sabon hasken rana a wannan shekara, kuma hasashen 'babban' ya nuna 138.8 GW.

Mafi ƙarancin sakamako ya riga ya zama ba zai yiwu ba, idan aka yi la'akari da adadin hasken rana da aka tura riga a wannan shekara, in ji SolarPower Turai, kodayake ƙungiyar masana'antar ta kara da cewa: "Idan wani bullar cutar ta afkawa manyan tattalin arziki a cikin rabin na biyu na shekara, buƙatar hasken rana na iya yiwuwa. lallai rushewa”.

hangen nesa na shekaru hudu

Matsakaicin yanayin ya kuma yi hasashen buƙatun hasken rana na duniya na komawa ga babban ci gaba daga 2021-24, wanda kasuwar Sin ta taimaka.Rahoton ya ce, "Mun kiyasta bukatar hasken rana na kasar Sin zai kai kusan GW 39.3 a shekarar 2020, 49 GW a shekarar 2021, 57.5 GW a shekarar 2022 da 64 GW a shekarar 2023 da kuma 71 GW a shekarar 2024," in ji rahoton.

A cikin shekara mai zuwa, buƙatar hasken rana zai haura 34% zuwa 149.9 GW, bisa ga matsakaiciyar hanya, kuma a cikin shekaru uku masu zuwa sabon ƙari zai kai 168.5 GW, 184 GW, da 199.8 GW.Idan aka sami waɗannan lambobin, ƙarfin PV na duniya zai ƙaru daga kusan 630 GW a ƙarshen wannan shekara zuwa fiye da 1 TW a cikin 2022 da 1.2 TW a ƙarshen 2023. A ƙarshen 2024, duniya za ta sami 1,448 GW na hasken rana, duk da haka, waɗannan matsakaicin matakan za a cimma su ne kawai, in ji SolarPower Turai, idan gwamnatoci sun haɗa da tallafi don sabuntawa a cikin fakitin haɓakar tattalin arziƙinsu na bayan-Covid.

Rahoton na bara ya annabta cewa matsakaicin yanayin dawowar 144 GW na sabon hasken rana a wannan shekara, 158 GW na gaba, 169 GW a 2022 da 180 GW a 2023, yana nuna cewa ana iya sa ran cutar ta Covid-19 za ta ci gaba da shafar kasuwar hasken rana. nan da shekaru uku masu zuwa.

Ragewar LCOE

Marubutan rahoton sun ce adadin farashin makamashi na PV mai girma ya ragu a bara a nahiyoyi uku."Bincike na baya-bayan nan da aka daidaita farashin makamashi (LCOE), wanda bankin saka hannun jari na Amurka Lazard ya fitar a watan Nuwamba 2019, ya nuna darajar sikelin amfani da hasken rana yana inganta fiye da sigar da ta gabata da kashi 7%," in ji binciken."Ma'aunin amfani da hasken rana ya sake yin arha fiye da sabbin hanyoyin samar da wutar lantarki na makamashin nukiliya da kwal, da kuma na'urorin sarrafa iskar gas."

Kungiyar cinikayyar ta kuma ce ci gaba da faduwa farashin ayyukan adana hasken rana-da-ajiya na iya fitar da masana'antar kololuwar iskar gas don tallafawa hanyoyin samar da wutar lantarki, ya danganta da yanayin yanki da sauran yanayi.

Rahoton na SolarPower Turai ya kawo nunin farashin hasken rana na kwanan nan a Portugal, Brazil da Hadaddiyar Daular Larabawa, wanda farashin karshe ya yi kasa da $0.02/kWh a karon farko."Ka'ida ta gaba ɗaya ita ce farashin wutar lantarki na hasken rana ya yi ƙasa sosai a cikin tattalin arziƙin tare da tsayayyen tsare-tsaren manufofi da ƙima mai yawa idan aka kwatanta da ƙasashe masu tasowa," in ji rahoton."Amma a cikin 'yan shekarun nan an sami ƙarin adadin misalai da ke nuna ƙarancin PPAs [yarjejeniyoyin siyan wutar lantarki] a cikin ƙasashe masu tasowa kuma."

Girma

A bara, adadin sabon ƙarfin hasken rana ya tashi 13% zuwa 116.6 GW.Kasar Sin ita ce kasuwa mafi girma, tare da 30.4 GW na sabon karfin aikin, sai Amurka (13.3 GW), Indiya (8.8 GW), Japan (7 GW), Vietnam (6.4 GW), Spain (4.8 GW), Australia ( 4.4 GW), Ukraine (3.9 GW), Jamus (3.9 GW) da Koriya ta Kudu (3.1 GW).

"A cikin 2019, kasashe 16 sun kara sama da 1 GW, idan aka kwatanta da 11 a cikin 2018, da tara a cikin 2017, suna nuna yadda rarrabuwar sassan hasken rana ke fara buɗewa cikin kasuwanni tare da manyan ƙira," in ji manazarta SolarPower Turai.

Ƙarfin hasken rana da aka shigar ya karu da kashi 23%, daga 516.8 GW a ƙarshen 2018 zuwa 633.7 GW watanni 12 bayan haka.Don mahallin, duniya ta yi alfahari da 41 GW na hasken rana a ƙarshen 2010.