Global solar simba inogona kusvika 1,448 GW muna 2024

SolarPower Europe yakafanotaura huwandu hwePV nyowani yakawedzerwa gore rino ichave 4% pasi pehuwandu hwegore rapfuura nekuda kwedambudziko reCovid-19.Pakupera kwa2019, nyika yaive yakakwira 630 GW yezuva.Muna 2020, ingangoita zana negumi nembiri GW yePV nyowani inotarisirwa, uye muna 2021, huwandu huchangobva kuisirwa hunogona kuita 149.9 GW kana hurumende dzakatsigira zvinodzoreredzwa muzvirongwa zvavo zvekugadzirisa hupfumi hwekoronavirus.

Musika wepasi rose wePV unofungidzirwa kuti unotarisirwa kuita chibvumirano zvishoma gore rino kunyangwe denda reCovid-19, sekureva kweGlobal Market Outlook 2020-2024chirevo chakaburitswa neindasitiri sangano SolarPower Europe.

Iyo yepakati-ye-nzira, 'yepakati' mamiriro akatsanangurwa mumushumo, iyo sangano inoona senzira ingangoita yeramangwana, inofungidzira kuti chizvarwa chitsva chekuwedzera chicharova 112 GW gore rino, inosvika 4% pasi pa116.9 GW yakawedzerwa. gore rapera.

Mamiriro esangano akanyanya kusavimbika anosanganisira 76.8 GW yesolar nyowani gore rino, uye 'yepamusoro' kufanotaura kunoisa 138.8 GW.

Mhedzisiro isina kunaka yatove isingaite, nekupihwa mavhoriyamu ezuva akaiswa gore rino, akadaro SolarPower Europe, kunyangwe boka reindasitiri rakawedzera kuti: "Kana rimwe danho redenda rakarova hupfumi hukuru zvakanyanya muhafu yechipiri yegore, kudiwa kwezuva kungangoitika. kuparara zvechokwadi.”

Maonero emakore mana

Mamiriro epakati anofungidzirawo kudiwa kwezuva repasi rose kudzoka mukukura kukuru kubva 2021-2024, yakabatsirwa nemusika weChina."Tinofungidzira kudiwa kwezuva reChinese kuchasvika 39.3 GW muna 2020, 49 GW muna 2021, 57.5 GW muna 2022 uye 64 GW muna 2023 uye 71 GW muna 2024," mushumo unodaro.

Kwegore rinotevera, kudiwa kwezuva kwaizokwira 34% kusvika 149.9 GW, maererano nepakati nzira, uye mumakore matatu anotevera kuwedzera kutsva kwaizorova 168.5 GW, 184 GW, uye 199.8 GW.Kana nhamba idzodzo dzikawaniswa, huwandu hwePV hwepasi rose huchawedzera kubva pa630 GW pakupera kwegore rino kusvika pa1 TW muna 2022 uye 1.2 TW pakupera kwa2023. Pakupera kwa2024, pasi rose raizove ne1,448 GW. ye solar, zvisinei, iwo epakati nhanho aizowanikwa chete, SolarPower Europe yakati, kana hurumende dzikabatanidza tsigiro yezvekuvandudzwa mumapaketi avo e-post-Covid ehupfumi ekusimudzira.

Rondedzero yegore rapfuura yeshumo yakafanotaura kudzoka kwepakati pemamiriro ekudzoka kwe144 GW yezuva idzva gore rino, 158 GW gore rinouya, 169 GW muna 2022 uye 180 GW muna 2023, zvichireva kuti denda reCovid-19 rinogona kutarisirwa kuramba richikanganisa musika wezuva. kwemakore matatu anotevera.

Kuramba LCOE

Vanyori veshumo vakati mutengo wakaenzana wesimba wePV yakakura wakadonha zvakare gore rapfuura mumakondinendi matatu."Kuongororwa kwemutengo wesimba (LCOE) wazvino, wakaburitswa muna Mbudzi 2019 nebhangi rekudyara reUS Lazard, rinoratidza kuti mutengo wesolar uri kuvandudzwa pamusoro peiyo yapfuura ne7%," akadaro ongororo."Utility scale solar yakachipa zvakare pane itsva yakajairwa magetsi ekugadzira nyukireya nemarasha, pamwe neakabatanidzwa-kutenderera gasi turbines."

Boka rekutengesa rakatiwo kuenderera kwemutengo kudonha kwemapurojekiti e solar-plus-storage kunogona kukwikwidza gasi peaker zvidyarwa zvekutsigira magidhi emagetsi, zvichienderana nedunhu nemamwe mamiriro.

Chirevo cheSolarPower Europe chakataura mathenda ezuva achangoburwa muPortugal, Brazil neUnited Arab Emirates, umo mitengo yekupedzisira yaive yakaderera pane $0.02/kWh kekutanga."Mutemo wakajairika ndewekuti mitengo yemagetsi ezuva yakadzikira zvakanyanya muhupfumi hune marongero akatsiga uye zvikwereti zvakakura zvichienzaniswa nenyika dzichiri kusimukira," mushumo wakadaro."Asi mumakore achangopfuura kwave nenhamba iri kuwedzera yemienzaniso inoratidza yakaderera zvakanyanya maPPA [zvibvumirano zvekutenga magetsi] munyika dzichiri kusimukira zvakare."

Kukura

Gore rakapera, huwandu hwesimba hutsva hwezuva hwakakwira 13% kusvika 116.6 GW.China ndiyo yaive musika mukuru, une 30.4 GW yehuwandu hutsva hwepurojekiti, ichiteverwa neUnited States (13.3 GW), India (8.8 GW), Japan (7 GW), Vietnam (6.4 GW), Spain (4.8 GW), Australia ( 4.4 GW), Ukraine (3,9 GW), Germany (3.9 GW) uye South Korea (3.1 GW).

"Muna 2019, nyika gumi nenhanhatu dzakawedzera pamusoro pe1 GW, mukuenzanisa negumi neimwe muna 2018, uye mapfumbamwe muna 2017, zvichiratidza kuti kusiyanisa kwechikamu chesolar kunotanga sei kubuda mumisika ine mavhoriyamu akakosha," vakanyora SolarPower Europe vanoongorora.

Cumulative yakaiswa solar simba yakasimuka 23%, kubva pa516.8 GW pakupera kwa2018 kusvika 633.7 GW 12 mwedzi gare gare.Nezve mamiriro, nyika yakazvikudza chete 41 GW yezuva pakupera kwa2010.